Structural Logistic Regression for Link Analysis

We present Structural Logistic Regression, an extension of logistic regression to modeling relational data. It is an integrated approach to building regression models from data stored in relational databases in which potential predictors, both boolean and real-valued, are generated by structured search in the space of queries to the database, and then tested with statistical information criteria for inclusion in a logistic regression. Using statistics and relational representation allows modeling in noisy domains with complex structure. Link prediction is a task of high interest with exactly such characteristics. Be it in the domain of scientific citations, social networks or hypertext, the underlying data are extremely noisy and the features useful for prediction are not readily available in a "flat" file format. We propose the application of Structural Logistic Regression to building link prediction models, and present experimental results for the task of predicting citations made in scientific literature using relational data taken from the CiteSeer search engine. This data includes the citation graph, authorship and publication venues of papers, as well as their word content.